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Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants: Week 3 Matchup Preview & Predictions

NFL Predictions Hub StaffJuly 17, 2026
Dallas CowboysNew York Giants

Game Overview

Week 3 features an intriguing matchup as the Dallas Cowboys head on the road to challenge the New York Giants inside MetLife Stadium. Both teams are looking to build momentum, and the scheme matchups on both sides of the ball make this a game worth watching closely.

Dallas Cowboys Outlook

Micah Parsons' impact on the defensive side multiplies the effectiveness of the entire Cowboys defense. The game airs on NBC, giving this matchup national exposure that reflects its competitive quality.

Head coach Mike McCarthy has built a team around a balanced, spread-formation attack that leverages Prescott's arm and CeeDee Lamb's talent on offense and a aggressive, Micah Parsons-anchored defense that creates havoc in opposing backfields on defense. The team's primary strength is CeeDee Lamb's ability to create mismatches against any cornerback in the league, while the coaching staff will look to address their road performance in elimination games has been a persistent concern in this week's contest.

AT&T Stadium gives Dallas a genuine home-field advantage. The Cowboys' record at home in prime-time games is excellent.

New York Giants Outlook

Brian Daboll's defense is built on disrupting opposing quarterbacks through pressure.

Brian Daboll has the New York Giants operating a run-first, physical attack designed to control the clock and protect the quarterback complemented by a multiple-front defense built around creating sacks and disrupting timing. Their biggest advantage this week is Saquon Barkley's ability to create explosive plays as both a runner and receiver, which presents a meaningful challenge for the visiting Dallas Cowboys.

MetLife Stadium creates a competitive environment for New York.

Key Players to Watch

Dak Prescott — QB, Dallas Cowboys

Prescott's arm talent and ability to operate in a spread formation make him one of the NFC's most productive passers. He's at his best when the Cowboys can establish early success and build rhythm.

CeeDee Lamb — WR, Dallas Cowboys

Lamb is one of the best receivers in football. His combination of route running, yards after catch, and contested-catch ability makes him nearly impossible to match up against with a single cornerback.

Daniel Jones — QB, New York Giants

Jones' mobility and competitive drive give New York a quarterback capable of manufacturing plays outside of structure.

Darius Slayton — WR, New York Giants

Slayton's speed and ability to create vertical opportunities make him the Giants' most dangerous downfield threat.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two franchises adds an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. The New York Giants have enjoyed home-field advantage in this series in recent years, but the Dallas Cowboys have proven capable of winning on the road against quality opponents.

Recent meetings have been competitive, with the margin of victory often coming down to turnover differential and third-down conversion rates. Expect this game to follow a similar pattern — the team that protects the ball and converts in critical moments will find a way to win.

Keys to the Game

  • Controlling the line of scrimmage: Whichever front five dominates in the trenches will dictate the game's flow. Physical dominance at the point of attack is the most reliable path to victory in this matchup.
  • Daniel Jones vs. the Dallas Cowboys pass rush: Daniel Jones's ability to avoid sacks and deliver on third down is the New York Giants's most important offensive variable. Consistent pressure disrupts the entire New York Giants offensive rhythm.
  • Red-zone efficiency: Both defenses are capable of limiting long drives but susceptible to giving up points in the red zone. The team that converts scoring opportunities — rather than settling for field goals — will almost certainly win.

Prediction

Kickoff: Thursday, September 17, 2026 | MetLife Stadium | NBC

This game sets up as a genuine toss-up, with both teams capable of winning depending on execution and turnovers. The Dallas Cowboys's CeeDee Lamb's ability to create mismatches against any cornerback in the league gives them a real path to victory on the road, but the New York Giants's Saquon Barkley's ability to create explosive plays as both a runner and receiver is a consistent advantage in close games.

Our lean is toward the New York Giants based on home-field advantage and Brian Daboll's track record in contested games. But do not be surprised if Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys keep this within one score until the final minutes. This is exactly the kind of game that makes the NFL compelling every week.

Prediction: New York Giants win, but it will be close

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